Presidential Campaign Polls

[David]

It's tied six months out. Swing states show dead heat. This favors the challengers. Undecided voters usually vote for the challenger.

Six months out, it's a tie.

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[David]

Romney polling well with independents as Obama campaign kicks off

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[FoundingFather]

Originally Posted by David

Romney polling well with independents as Obama campaign kicks off

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This bodes well as Romney hasn't even really started to hammer Obama.

All we've heard from Obama is that "Romney would mean a return to the policies which led to the disaster we find ourselves in". That's all he has and can easily be shot down.

[David]

Originally Posted by FoundingFather

This bodes well as Romney hasn't even really started to hammer Obama.

All we've heard from Obama is that "Romney would mean a return to the policies which led to the disaster we find ourselves in". That's all he has and can easily be shot down.

Battleground Poll: Obama, Romney in dead heat

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[David]

A newly released PPP/Daily Kos poll shows President Obama and Mitt Romney locked in essentially a dead-heat in Wisconsin — where Obama beat John McCain by 14 percentage points in 2008. The poll (which was taken shortly after Obama came out in favor of redefining marriage) shows Obama with 47 percent support and Romney with 46 percent support. The previous PPP/Daily Kos poll from Wisconsin, taken a month ago, showed Obama leading Romney by 6 points (50 to 44 percent)

[David]

It is really fun seeing the Dems and the lamestream media deal with the latest polls. The NY Times/CBS poll is being disowned by the Times and CBS. Across the board Obama is seen as in a dead heat or slightly behind. The Wisconsin poll showing Obama and Romney tied is a great indication of how BHO is running far behind his 2008 numbers.

Plus, you won't see any more talk of the Dems recapturing the US House. GOP take over of the Senate is a real possibility. Gay marriage hurts Red State Dem Senate candidates.

It's very early. But, it is clear Obama simply can't match his numbers of 2008. Plus, it's become obvious Romney, and his organization, are far superior to McCain. You may remember McCain took the nomination late. He was way behind where he needed to be in terms of money and organization.

[David]

USA Today/Gallup: Congressional Generic Vote: GOP 50, Dems 44

[schaabdl]

The only polls showing promise for DIMS and BHO appear to be registered voters only - a fairly dramatic shift occurs when changed to likely voters. There may not be much enthusiasm to vote for Romney but there is none to vote for BHO. His base can't even show benefit from his tenure.

[dcannady]

Democrats all across the country are going to be beaten. There will be weeping, wailing and gnashing of teeth from the Democrats at the depth of the loss they are about to experience.

[David]

Latest Polls: Mason-Dixon: Romney +3 | Gallup: Romney +1

[David]

New Quinnipiac poll in FL: Romney 46%, Obama 41%

[David]

Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread

Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama Rasmussen Reports Obama 47, Romney 41 Obama +6

Florida: Romney vs. Obama Quinnipiac Romney 47, Obama 41 Romney +6

Arizona: Romney vs. Obama PPP (D) Romney 50, Obama 43 Romney +7

General Election: Romney vs. Obama NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Obama 47, Romney 43 Obama +4

General Election: Romney vs. Obama Gallup Tracking Obama 46, Romney 46 Tie

[David]

These numbers are very encouraging. NBC/Marist leans Dem.

Thursday, May 31
Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Ohio: Romney vs. Obama Rasmussen Reports Obama 44, Romney 46 Romney +2

Nevada: Romney vs. Obama NBC News/Marist Obama 48, Romney 46 Obama +2

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama NBC News/Marist Obama 46, Romney 45 Obama +1

Iowa: Romney vs. Obama NBC News/Marist Obama 44, Romney 44 Tie

New York: Romney vs. Obama Quinnipiac Obama 56, Romney 31 Obama +25

General Election: Romney vs. Obama Gallup Tracking Obama 47, Romney 44 Obama +3

General Election: Romney vs. Obama Rasmussen Tracking Obama 45, Romney 46 Romney +1

[schaabdl]

NBC/Marist was also using Registered Voters - besides the probable skewed weighting, RV is not a good measure. Probably a bit early at this time for any poll, even Rasmussen. After the conventions and after Labor Days, the picture should be come clear, especially when likely voters counted. As usual, enthusiasm / turn out - hard measures for any pollster to glean.

[David]

James Pethokoukis ‏@JimPethokoukis

CNN poll of RVs on Obama v. Romney has gone from 54-43 in March to 52-43 in April to, now, 49-46 in May

[David]

Rasmussen Reports ^ | June 3, 2012
The presidential race in the key battleground state of Virginia remains tied. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Old Dominion shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney picking up 47% support. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.

[schaabdl]

Interesting tidbit picked up from Dick Morris on the Medved show - in all but one election where the incumbent was defending the WH since 1964, the undecided voters broke for the challenger.

[etex211]

Wake me when the conventions are over.

[David]

James Pethokoukis ‏


Collapse! Obama down to 51% on Intrade. Again, a derivative of #WIrecall

[David]

Gallup: Romney leads among middle-income voters

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